All analyses
18AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special
Windy City Hits
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 18/100 with 6.9% off fair. Sportsbook special.
Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You 5-Leg Stack
Value
2
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
40
Compares to best alt book
Historical
54
Similar boosts performance
Safety
0
Higher = lower variance
Social
48
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
FanDuel
18/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special
Windy City Hits
"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."
Your Odds
+600
Edge
-6.9%
Price Bump
+12%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+600
Original odds+525
Market consensus+525
Devigged fair+652
Implied probability14.3%
Fair probability13.3%
Boost % gained+12.0%
Expected ROI-6.91%
Edge vs fair-6.91%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/5 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - CHI White Sox
Leg 2unmatched
Braden Montgomery: 1+ Hits
Leg 3unmatched
Chase Meidroth: 1+ Hits
Leg 4unmatched
Miguel Vargas: 1+ Hits
Leg 5unmatched
Randal Grichuk: 1+ Hits
FanDuel (boosted)+600
Combined consensus+525
Combined fair (devigged)+652
Legs
- 1.Money Line - CHI White Sox
- 2.Braden Montgomery: 1+ Hits
- 3.Chase Meidroth: 1+ Hits
- 4.Miguel Vargas: 1+ Hits
- 5.Randal Grichuk: 1+ Hits
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and is not recommended.
- Value: With an expected value of -6.91%, the boosted odds of +600 are significantly lower than the devigged fair odds of +652.
- Market context: The boost from +525 to +600 represents a 12.0% increase, but still falls short of fair value when compared to the devigged fair odds.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: This is a 5-leg parlay, inherently carrying high multi-leg parlay variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.