All analyses
20AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special
VEGAS VICTORY ROYALE
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 20/100 with 8.5% off fair. Sportsbook special.
Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You 4-Leg Stack
Value
0
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
52
Compares to best alt book
Historical
50
Similar boosts performance
Safety
0
Higher = lower variance
Social
47
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
20/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special
VEGAS VICTORY ROYALE
"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."
Your Odds
+1000
Edge
-8.5%
Price Bump
+10%
AiOddsLab.com
Settle the debate · free📸 Screenshot to send to the group chat
Or download a different format
One tap → high-res, watermarked PNG sized for the feed.
Settle the debate
Send this card to the group chat or post it for a sanity check — see who actually agrees with the read.
The numbers
Boosted odds+1000
Original odds+900
Market consensus+900
Devigged fair+1102
Implied probability9.1%
Fair probability8.3%
Boost % gained+10.0%
Expected ROI-8.49%
Edge vs fair-8.49%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/4 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - VGS Golden Knights
Leg 2unmatched
Jack Eichel to Score a Goal
Leg 3unmatched
Mitchell Marner: 1+ Points
Leg 4unmatched
Shea Theodore: 1+ Assists
DraftKings (boosted)+1000
Combined consensus+900
Combined fair (devigged)+1102
Player status
From ESPN injury feed.
- ACTIVEJack Eichel · Vegas Golden Knights
- ACTIVEMitchell Marner
- ACTIVEShea Theodore · Vegas Golden Knights
Legs
- 1.Money Line - VGS Golden Knights
- 2.Jack Eichel to Score a Goal
- 3.Mitchell Marner: 1+ Points
- 4.Shea Theodore: 1+ Assists
AI breakdown
Verdict: The "Vegas Victory Royale" boost is unlikely to be profitable due to a negative expected value.
- Value: The boosted odds of +1000 are significantly lower than the calculated fair odds of +1102, resulting in a -8.49% edge.
- Market context: The boosted price of +1000 is still substantially below what would be considered a fair price of +1102, indicating poor value.
- Status: Jack Eichel, Mitchell Marner, and Shea Theodore are all active for their respective games.
- Risk: This is a 4-leg parlay, increasing the inherent variance and difficulty of hitting.
- Recommendation: Pass.