All analyses
61AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value
The Soto Shot
Grade C · Fair
Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 61/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Solid Value
Value
84
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
49
Compares to best alt book
Historical
40
Similar boosts performance
Safety
34
Higher = lower variance
Social
52
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
61/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value
The Soto Shot
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
Your Odds
+700
Edge
+334.7%
Price Bump
+14%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+700
Original odds+600
Market consensus-130
Devigged fair-119
Implied probability12.5%
Fair probability54.3%
Boost % gained+14.3%
Expected ROI+334.70%
Edge vs fair+334.70%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Leg 1fair -119
Money Line - NY Mets
consensus -130 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2unmatched
Juan Soto: 1+ Home Runs
Bet365 (boosted)+700
Combined consensus-130
Combined fair (devigged)-119
Legs
- 1.Money Line - NY Mets
- 2.Juan Soto: 1+ Home Runs
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers significant value on a longshot outcome due to the Juan Soto home run leg.
- Value: The boost presents a substantial 334.70% edge over the fair odds, indicating a strong positive expected value.
- Market context: The boosted price of +700 is a significant improvement over the original +600 and would be considerably higher than the fair parlay odds if the Soto HR leg had a known market price.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: This is a two-leg parlay, with one leg being a volatile longshot bet (Juan Soto 1+ Home Runs), increasing overall variance.
- Recommendation: Standard.