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DCoin flip· Strong Value

The Lowe Down

Grade D · Poor

About 4.7% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 49/100).

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value Big Bump
Value
60

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
53

Compares to best alt book

Historical
52

Similar boosts performance

Safety
12

Higher = lower variance

Social
53

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
FanDuel
49/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

The Lowe Down

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+3300
Edge
+4.7%
Price Bump
+26%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "The Lowe Down" (FanDuel) 49/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/the-lowe-down-yf1lyo

The numbers

Boosted odds+3300
Original odds+2600
Market consensus+2600
Devigged fair+3148
Implied probability2.9%
Fair probability3.1%
Boost % gained+25.9%
Expected ROI+4.68%
Edge vs fair+4.68%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Brandon Lowe: 2+ Hits
Leg 2unmatched
Brandon Lowe: 1+ Home Runs
Leg 3unmatched
Brandon Lowe: 3+ Runs Batted In
FanDuel (boosted)+3300
Combined consensus+2600
Combined fair (devigged)+3148

Legs

  • 1.Brandon Lowe: 2+ Hits
  • 2.Brandon Lowe: 1+ Home Runs
  • 3.Brandon Lowe: 3+ Runs Batted In

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers a substantial edge over fair value.

  • Value: The sportsbook boost to +3300 represents a 4.68% edge against the devigged fair odds of +3148.
  • Market context: The boosted odds are significantly better than the internal original odds of +2600.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal for Brandon Lowe.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Standard bet.