All analyses
Verdict: Better Off Passing. Rating 31 out of 100. Grade F.
Ai
AiOddsLab
Bet365
Better Off PassingBalancedF

Price or risk doesn't justify it

Super Aumentada (Super Boost)

Nothing to anchor a fair price against. Not a knock on your read — just an honest "we don't know."

Stake idea · Balanced
0.1u · Lottery
Long shot energy — small stake, big screenshot if it hits.
Your odds
+175
Fair odds
+231
Edge
Ai

Settle the debate

Save as image
Send link

Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This Super Boost on Alexander Isak and Cody Gakpo to each have 1+ shots on goal is unfavorable due to a negative expected value.

  • Value: The boost at +175 offers a negative expected value of -16.92% compared to the devigged an estimated fair price.
  • Market context: The boosted price of +175 is significantly worse than the devigged an estimated fair price.
  • Status: No notable injury signal.
  • Social: the matchup data from Reddit.
  • Risk: This is a 2-leg parlay, introducing multi-leg parlay variance.

Smart insight: The true probability of each player achieving 1+ shots on goal is critical, as a slight mispricing on either leg heavily impacts the parlay's EV. Similar profile: This is a 2-leg soccer parlay on individual player shots on goal, a market category often prone to juiced lines and significant bookmaker edge. Counter-case: The primary reason to fade is the substantial negative edge when compared against the calculated fair odds. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Recommendation: Pass

How this bet was graded

Grade F · 31/100 · Better Off Passing

Super Aumentada (Super Boost) at +175 on Bet365 (2 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+0.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. F (31/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an F-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.