All analyses
57AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value
SPURS STORM BACK
Grade C · Fair
Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 57/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Solid Value
Value
80
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
65
Compares to best alt book
Historical
39
Similar boosts performance
Safety
5
Higher = lower variance
Social
48
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
57/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value
SPURS STORM BACK
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
Your Odds
+1100
Edge
+438.1%
Price Bump
+14%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+1100
Original odds+950
Market consensus+114
Devigged fair+123
Implied probability8.3%
Fair probability44.8%
Boost % gained+14.3%
Expected ROI+438.12%
Edge vs fair+438.12%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Leg 1fair +123
Money Line: SA Spurs
consensus +114 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2unmatched
Stephon Castle: 20+ Points
Leg 3unmatched
Dylan Harper: 15+ Points
Bet365 (boosted)+1100
Combined consensus+114
Combined fair (devigged)+123
Player status
From ESPN injury feed.
- ACTIVEStephon Castle
- ACTIVEDylan Harper
Legs
- 1.Money Line: SA Spurs
- 2.Stephon Castle: 20+ Points
- 3.Dylan Harper: 15+ Points
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers significant theoretical value due to the boosted odds and high implied edge.
- Value: The boost moves the odds from +950 to +1100, representing a substantial 14.3% increase against the original book price. The calculated EV is very high at 438.12%.
- Market context: The boosted +1100 is far superior to the combined market consensus of +114 and the devigged fair odds of +123,
- Status: Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper are both active for the game.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, introducing multi-leg parlay variance, particularly with two player prop legs that lack comparative odds.
- Recommendation: Small.