All analyses
Verdict: Better Off Passing. Rating 32 out of 100. Grade F.
Ai
AiOddsLab
FanDuel
Better Off PassingBalancedF

Price or risk doesn't justify it

Soccer SGP for Switzerland v Canada match

SGP-shaped ticket with no apples-to-apples market. Almost always priced worse than the same legs straight — pass or rebuild it leg by leg.

Stake idea · Balanced
0.1u · Lottery
Long shot energy — small stake, big screenshot if it hits.
Your odds
+100
Fair odds
+140
Edge
Ai

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Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This Canada SGP is a fade, priced significantly below fair value.

  • Value: The offered price of +100 presents a negative EV of -16.67% against combined devigged an estimated fair price.
  • Market context: At +100, the sportsbook's price is 40 points shorter than the an estimated fair price.
  • Status: No notable injury signal.
  • Social: the matchup data on Reddit sentiment.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.

Smart insight: The largest driver of this bet's EV is the accuracy of the devigged fair odds, indicating the market believes +140 is a more appropriate price. Similar profile: the matchup shot prop and card prop parlays in soccer are very hit-or-miss propositions, often suffering from juiced lines in the absence of market consensus.

Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Recommendation: Pass

How this bet was graded

Grade F · 32/100 · Better Off Passing

Soccer SGP for Switzerland v Canada match at +100 on FanDuel (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+0.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. F (32/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an F-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.