Shohei's Show
Grade D · Poor
About 6.7% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 44/100).
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Edge vs devigged fair price
Compares to best alt book
Similar boosts performance
Higher = lower variance
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Shohei's Show
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
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The numbers
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Player status
From ESPN injury feed.
- ACTIVEShohei Ohtani
- ACTIVEShohei Ohtani
Legs
- 1.Money Line - LA Dodgers
- 2.Shohei Ohtani: 1+ Home Runs
- 3.Shohei Ohtani: 2+ Hits
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers a slight edge over fair odds but carries significant multi-leg parlay risk.
- Value: The boost provides a 6.67% expected value (ROI) above devigged fair odds, indicating a genuine edge.
- Market context: The boosted odds of +1100 are better than the original +1000 and the fair odds of +1025.
- Status: Shohei Ohtani is active for this matchup.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay involving a longshot outcome (Ohtani home run), contributing to high variance.
- Recommendation: Small