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58AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value

San Diego Special

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 58/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value
Value
76

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
63

Compares to best alt book

Historical
55

Similar boosts performance

Safety
7

Higher = lower variance

Social
45

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
58/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

San Diego Special

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+1400
Edge
+584.9%
Price Bump
+7%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "San Diego Special" (Bet365) 58/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/san-diego-special-s0bo8h

The numbers

Boosted odds+1400
Original odds+1300
Market consensus+110
Devigged fair+119
Implied probability6.7%
Fair probability45.7%
Boost % gained+7.1%
Expected ROI+584.93%
Edge vs fair+584.93%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Leg 1fair +119
Money Line - SD Padres
consensus +110 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2unmatched
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+ Hits
Leg 3unmatched
Jackson Merrill: 2+ Total Bases
Bet365 (boosted)+1400
Combined consensus+110
Combined fair (devigged)+119

Player status

From ESPN injury feed.

  • ACTIVE
    Fernando Tatis Jr.
  • ACTIVE
    Jackson Merrill

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - SD Padres
  • 2.Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+ Hits
  • 3.Jackson Merrill: 2+ Total Bases

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers substantial expected value due to a high edge against fair odds.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +1400 provide a significant 584.93% edge over the devigged fair odds of +119, indicating strong value.
  • Market context: The boosted price of +1400 is considerably higher than the combined market consensus of +110, but the fair odds of the combined legs are +119.
  • Status: Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill are both active for the game.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Standard.