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FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 27/100 with 6.4% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
5

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
54

Compares to best alt book

Historical
59

Similar boosts performance

Safety
20

Higher = lower variance

Social
51

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
27/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Your Odds
+800
Edge
-6.4%
Price Bump
+13%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Same Game Parlay" (Bet365) 27/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-vjgpgt

The numbers

Boosted odds+800
Original odds+700
Market consensus+700
Devigged fair+862
Implied probability11.1%
Fair probability10.4%
Boost % gained+12.5%
Expected ROI-6.44%
Edge vs fair-6.44%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Julio Rodriguez - Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
Leg 2unmatched
Julio Rodriguez: 1+ Hits
Leg 3unmatched
Julio Rodriguez: 1+ Runs
Bet365 (boosted)+800
Combined consensus+700
Combined fair (devigged)+862

Legs

  • 1.Julio Rodriguez - Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
  • 2.Julio Rodriguez: 1+ Hits
  • 3.Julio Rodriguez: 1+ Runs

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and is not an advantageous play.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +800 are worse than the calculated fair odds of +862, indicating a negative edge of -6.44%.
  • Market context: The boosted price is below the fair odds, making it less attractive than a non-boosted bet at fair value.
  • Status: No notable injury signal for Julio Rodriguez.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, increasing the inherent variance.
  • Recommendation: Pass.