All analyses
Verdict: Lottery Ticket. Rating 73 out of 100. Grade A+.
Ai
AiOddsLab
DraftKings
Lottery TicketBalancedA+

Longshot — fun stake only

Same Game Parlay

Bet builder this specific has hidden correlation juice baked in. Fun ticket, not an investment.

Stake idea · Balanced
2u · Loud
Genuine value — comfortable going bigger here.
Your odds
+400
Fair odds
+350
Edge
Price bump+14%
Ai

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Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This parlay offers a positive expected value, making it a compelling wager.

  • Market context: The sportsbook is offering a 13.6% higher price compared to their original +340.
  • Status: No notable injury signal.
  • Social: the matchup public social data for analysis.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.

Smart insight: The combined strikeout totals for Joe Ryan and Shohei Ohtani are the most impactful components driving the value of this parlay. Similar profile: This is a 3-leg MLB SGP combining pitcher strikeouts and a "no run in 1st inning" outcome, which typically resolves with high variance. Counter-case: The "no run in the 1st inning" leg is often subject to high variance and can be impacted by a single early hit. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Recommendation: Standard

How this bet was graded

Grade A+ · 73/100 · Lottery Ticket

Same Game Parlay at +400 on DraftKings (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+13.6%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. A+ (73/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an A+-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.