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21AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 21/100 with 11.7% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You 4-Leg Stack
Value
0

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
54

Compares to best alt book

Historical
58

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
52

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
21/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Boosted
+1600
Edge
-11.7%
Boost
+6%
Situational Nuance
  • Public/Sharp split-0.9
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Same Game Parlay" (Bet365) 21/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-ss3asj

The numbers

Boosted odds+1600
Original odds+1500
Market consensus+1500
Devigged fair+1825
Implied probability5.9%
Fair probability5.2%
Boost % gained+6.3%
Expected ROI-11.69%
Edge vs fair-11.69%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/4 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 4 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Brandon Lowe - 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
Leg 2unmatched
Connor Norby - 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
Leg 3unmatched
Jared Triolo - 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
Leg 4unmatched
Kyle Stowers - 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
Bet365 (boosted)+1600
Combined consensus+1500
Combined fair (devigged)+1825

Legs

  • 1.Brandon Lowe - 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
  • 2.Connor Norby - 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
  • 3.Jared Triolo - 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
  • 4.Kyle Stowers - 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs