Same Game Parlay
Grade D · Poor
About 5.9% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 43/100).
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Edge vs devigged fair price
Compares to best alt book
Similar boosts performance
Higher = lower variance
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Same Game Parlay
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
One tap → high-res, watermarked PNG sized for the feed.
Settle the debate
Send this card to the group chat or post it for a sanity check — see who actually agrees with the read.
The numbers
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Legs
- 1.Edson Alvarez: 2+ Fouls Committed
- 2.Khuliso Mudau: 2+ Fouls Committed
- 3.Teboho Mokoena: 2+ Fouls Committed
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers a slight edge over the fair odds, but the inherent volatility of a three-leg parlay on fouls committed limits its appeal.
- Value: The 8.3% boost from original and 5.95% edge against fair odds indicate some value.
- Market context: The boost from +1100 to +1200 provides a measurable advantage over the calculated fair odds of +1127.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, and foul accumulation bets are often subject to high variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.