All analyses
20AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special
Same Game Parlay
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 20/100 with 8.5% off fair. Sportsbook special.
Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You 6-Leg Stack
Value
0
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
58
Compares to best alt book
Historical
41
Similar boosts performance
Safety
0
Higher = lower variance
Social
41
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
20/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special
Same Game Parlay
"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."
Your Odds
+450
Edge
-8.5%
Price Bump
+10%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+450
Original odds+400
Market consensus+400
Devigged fair+501
Implied probability18.2%
Fair probability16.6%
Boost % gained+10.0%
Expected ROI-8.49%
Edge vs fair-8.49%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/6 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 6 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
CJ Abrams: 1+ Hits
Leg 2unmatched
Cole Young: 1+ Hits
Leg 3unmatched
Daylen Lile: 1+ Hits
Leg 4unmatched
Josh Naylor: 1+ Hits
Leg 5unmatched
Julio Rodriguez: 1+ Hits
Leg 6unmatched
Randy Arozarena: 1+ Hits
Bet365 (boosted)+450
Combined consensus+400
Combined fair (devigged)+501
Legs
- 1.CJ Abrams: 1+ Hits
- 2.Cole Young: 1+ Hits
- 3.Daylen Lile: 1+ Hits
- 4.Josh Naylor: 1+ Hits
- 5.Julio Rodriguez: 1+ Hits
- 6.Randy Arozarena: 1+ Hits
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and is not recommended.
- Value: The boosted odds of +450 are significantly worse than the fair odds of +501, resulting in an expected value of -8.49%.
- Market context: The boosted price is +450, while the consensus fair odds suggest a true price around +501. The original odds were +400.
- Status: There is no notable injury signal for any of the players involved.
- Risk: This is a 6-leg parlay, inherently carrying high multi-leg parlay variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.