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FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 29/100 with 7.6% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
6

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
54

Compares to best alt book

Historical
47

Similar boosts performance

Safety
36

Higher = lower variance

Social
48

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
29/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Your Odds
+400
Edge
-7.6%
Price Bump
+11%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Same Game Parlay" (Bet365) 29/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-f5wnmq

The numbers

Boosted odds+400
Original odds+350
Market consensus+350
Devigged fair+441
Implied probability20.0%
Fair probability18.5%
Boost % gained+11.1%
Expected ROI-7.58%
Edge vs fair-7.58%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - MON Alouettes
Leg 2unmatched
Dustin Crum: To Score a TD
Leg 3unmatched
Shomari Lawrence: To Score a TD
Bet365 (boosted)+400
Combined consensus+350
Combined fair (devigged)+441

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - MON Alouettes
  • 2.Dustin Crum: To Score a TD
  • 3.Shomari Lawrence: To Score a TD

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and is not recommended.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +400 are significantly lower than the projected fair odds of +441, indicating a negative edge of -7.58%.
  • Market context: The boost from +350 to +400 is a marketing offer, as the fair odds suggest a higher payout for these legs.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal for any of the players.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying higher variance.
  • Recommendation: Pass.