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45AiOddsLab
DCoin flip· Market Neutral

SAME GAME PARLAY

Grade D · Poor

About 0.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 45/100).

Right around fair. You're paying about what the bet is worth — flip a coin on conviction.

4-Leg Stack
Value
50

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
51

Compares to best alt book

Historical
46

Similar boosts performance

Safety
23

Higher = lower variance

Social
50

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
45/100
COIN FLIPMarket Neutral

SAME GAME PARLAY

"Right around fair. You're paying about what the bet is worth — flip a coin on conviction."

Your Odds
+220
Edge
+0.0%
Price Bump
+0%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "SAME GAME PARLAY" (Bet365) 45/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-e2ls68

The numbers

Boosted odds+220
Implied probability31.3%
Fair probability31.3%
Boost % gained+0.0%
Expected ROI+0.00%
Edge vs fair+0.00%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Incomplete Market Context
Cannot calculate true EV due to unmatched custom prop legs. Standard book baseline applies. Edge frozen at 0.0%.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Raul Jimenez: 1+ Shots on Target
Leg 2unmatched
Julian Quinones: 1+ Shots on Target
Leg 3unmatched
Money Line - Mexico
Leg 4unmatched
Both Teams to Receive a Card
Bet365 (boosted)+220

Legs

  • 1.Raul Jimenez: 1+ Shots on Target
  • 2.Julian Quinones: 1+ Shots on Target
  • 3.Money Line - Mexico
  • 4.Both Teams to Receive a Card

AI breakdown

Verdict: This four-leg parlay is a longshot with unknown value due to missing fair odds.

  • Value: Unable to assess true value without the original unboosted odds or a comparison to fair odds.
  • Market context: The boosted odds of +220 on a four-leg parlay reflect a longshot outcome, but specific market comparisons are unavailable.
  • Status: No notable injury signals for any players mentioned.
  • Risk: This is a four-leg parlay, which inherently carries significant multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Pass.