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FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 25/100 with 6.2% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
7

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
55

Compares to best alt book

Historical
48

Similar boosts performance

Safety
7

Higher = lower variance

Social
57

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
25/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Your Odds
+1000
Edge
-6.2%
Price Bump
+13%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Same Game Parlay" (Bet365) 25/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-cpfptl

The numbers

Boosted odds+1000
Original odds+875
Market consensus+875
Devigged fair+1073
Implied probability9.1%
Fair probability8.5%
Boost % gained+12.8%
Expected ROI-6.22%
Edge vs fair-6.22%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Dustin Crum: To Score a TD
Leg 2unmatched
Shomari Lawrence: To Score a TD
Leg 3unmatched
Stevie Scott: To Score a TD
Bet365 (boosted)+1000
Combined consensus+875
Combined fair (devigged)+1073

Legs

  • 1.Dustin Crum: To Score a TD
  • 2.Shomari Lawrence: To Score a TD
  • 3.Stevie Scott: To Score a TD

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers worse odds than the calculated fair price, indicating negative expected value.

  • Value: The boost at +1000 is lower than the devigged fair odds of +1073, representing a -6.22% edge.
  • Market context: The boosted odds of +1000 are a slight improvement over the original +875, but still fall short of fair value when accounting for the house edge.
  • Status: No notable injury signal.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying significant variance.
  • Recommendation: Pass.