All analyses
30AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Overpriced
Same Game Parlay
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 30/100 with 5.0% off fair. Sportsbook special.
You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
13
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
63
Compares to best alt book
Historical
48
Similar boosts performance
Safety
12
Higher = lower variance
Social
50
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
30/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced
Same Game Parlay
"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."
Your Odds
+700
Edge
-5.0%
Price Bump
+14%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+700
Original odds+600
Market consensus+600
Devigged fair+742
Implied probability12.5%
Fair probability11.9%
Boost % gained+14.3%
Expected ROI-4.99%
Edge vs fair-4.99%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Brandon Lowe: 2+ Total Bases
Leg 2unmatched
Bryan Reynolds: 2+ Total Bases
Leg 3unmatched
Spencer Horwitz: 2+ Total Bases
Bet365 (boosted)+700
Combined consensus+600
Combined fair (devigged)+742
Legs
- 1.Brandon Lowe: 2+ Total Bases
- 2.Bryan Reynolds: 2+ Total Bases
- 3.Spencer Horwitz: 2+ Total Bases
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and is not recommended.
- Value: The boosted odds of +700 are significantly lower than the calculated fair odds of +742, indicating a -4.99% edge for the bettor.
- Market context: The boost improvement from +600 to +700 represents a 14.3% increase against the original offer but still falls short of fair value.
- Status: There is no notable injury signal for Brandon Lowe, Bryan Reynolds, or Spencer Horwitz.
- Social: Insufficient public sentiment data available.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, which inherently carries high variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.