Ai
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40AiOddsLab
DProbably skip· Overpriced

SAME GAME PARLAY

Grade D · Poor

About 0.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 40/100).

You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.

9-Leg Stack
Value
50

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
46

Compares to best alt book

Historical
43

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
56

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
40/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced

SAME GAME PARLAY

"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."

Your Odds
+1000
Edge
+0.0%
Price Bump
+0%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "SAME GAME PARLAY" (DraftKings) 40/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-a1agcs

The numbers

Boosted odds+1000
Implied probability9.1%
Fair probability9.1%
Boost % gained+0.0%
Expected ROI+0.00%
Edge vs fair+0.00%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Incomplete Market Context
Cannot calculate true EV due to unmatched custom prop legs. Standard book baseline applies. Edge frozen at 0.0%.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 7 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1fair -100
Total: Over 216.5
consensus -110 · 9 books · totals
Leg 2unmatched
Victor Wembanyama: 20+ Points
Leg 3unmatched
Jalen Brunson: 20+ Points
Leg 4unmatched
OG Anunoby: 15+ Points
Leg 5unmatched
Stephon Castle: 15+ Points
Leg 6unmatched
Jalen Brunson: 2+ Threes Made
Leg 7unmatched
Victor Wembanyama: 2+ Threes Made
Leg 8unmatched
Victor Wembanyama: 10+ Rebounds
Leg 9unmatched
Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+ Rebounds
DraftKings (boosted)+1000
Line movement3 snapshots
+1

Player status

From ESPN injury feed.

  • ACTIVE
    Victor Wembanyama · SA Spurs
  • ACTIVE
    Jalen Brunson · NY Knicks
  • ACTIVE
    OG Anunoby · NY Knicks
  • ACTIVE
    Stephon Castle · SA Spurs
  • ACTIVE
    Jalen Brunson · NY Knicks
  • ACTIVE
    Victor Wembanyama · SA Spurs
  • ACTIVE
    Victor Wembanyama · SA Spurs
  • ACTIVE
    Karl-Anthony Towns

Legs

  • 1.Total: Over 216.5
  • 2.Victor Wembanyama: 20+ Points
  • 3.Jalen Brunson: 20+ Points
  • 4.OG Anunoby: 15+ Points
  • 5.Stephon Castle: 15+ Points
  • 6.Jalen Brunson: 2+ Threes Made
  • 7.Victor Wembanyama: 2+ Threes Made
  • 8.Victor Wembanyama: 10+ Rebounds
  • 9.Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+ Rebounds

AI breakdown

Verdict: This nine-leg same game parlay is an unfavorable longshot despite the boosted odds.

  • Value: The boosted +1000 odds are significantly worse than the consensus fair odds of -110, indicating negative expected value.
  • Market context: The boost offers +1000, while the consensus fair odds sit at -110. The Total Over 216.5 leg has fair odds of -100.
  • Status: Victor Wembanyama, Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby, Stephon Castle, and Karl-Anthony Towns are all active.
  • Risk: 9-leg parlay variance. With 9 independent conditions required, hit rate compounds quickly and one miss voids the ticket. No verifiable correlation signal from the inputs provided.
  • Recommendation: Pass.