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55AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value

SAME GAME PARLAY

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 55/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value Big Bump 7-Leg Stack
Value
79

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
54

Compares to best alt book

Historical
50

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
49

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
55/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

SAME GAME PARLAY

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+1950
Edge
+21.7%
Price Bump
+46%
Situational Nuance
  • Line moved against the bet (2 snaps)-0.4
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "SAME GAME PARLAY" (Bet365) 55/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-8ovnou

The numbers

Boosted odds+1950
Original odds+1300
Market consensus+1300
Devigged fair+1585
Implied probability4.9%
Fair probability5.9%
Boost % gained+46.4%
Expected ROI+21.66%
Edge vs fair+21.66%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 2/7 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 5 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Seth Jarvis: 2+ Shots on Goal
Leg 2fair -117
Brett Howden: 2+ Shots on Goal
consensus -132 · 4 books · player_shots_on_goal
Leg 3fair -127
Jordan Staal: 2+ Shots on Goal
consensus -147 · 4 books · player_shots_on_goal
Leg 4unmatched
Mitchell Marner: 2+ Shots on Goal
Leg 5unmatched
Nikolaj Ehlers: 2+ Shots on Goal
Leg 6unmatched
Noah Hanifin: 2+ Blocked Shots
Leg 7unmatched
Jalen Chatfield: 2+ Blocked Shots
Bet365 (boosted)+1950
Combined consensus+1300
Combined fair (devigged)+1585
Line movement2 snapshots
+15

Player status

From ESPN injury feed.

  • ACTIVE
    Seth Jarvis · CAR Hurricanes
  • ACTIVE
    Brett Howden · VGS Golden Knights
  • ACTIVE
    Jordan Staal · CAR Hurricanes
  • ACTIVE
    Mitchell Marner
  • ACTIVE
    Nikolaj Ehlers
  • ACTIVE
    Noah Hanifin · VGS Golden Knights
  • ACTIVE
    Jalen Chatfield · CAR Hurricanes

Legs

  • 1.Seth Jarvis: 2+ Shots on Goal
  • 2.Brett Howden: 2+ Shots on Goal
  • 3.Jordan Staal: 2+ Shots on Goal
  • 4.Mitchell Marner: 2+ Shots on Goal
  • 5.Nikolaj Ehlers: 2+ Shots on Goal
  • 6.Noah Hanifin: 2+ Blocked Shots
  • 7.Jalen Chatfield: 2+ Blocked Shots