All analyses
40AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Overpriced

Same Game Parlay

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 40/100 with 0.5% off fair. Sportsbook special.

You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.

Value
36

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
48

Compares to best alt book

Historical
63

Similar boosts performance

Safety
22

Higher = lower variance

Social
45

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
40/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced

Same Game Parlay

"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."

Your Odds
+450
Edge
-0.5%
Price Bump
+20%
AiOddsLab.com
Settle the debate · free
Ai
📸 Screenshot to send to the group chat
Or download a different format

One tap → high-res, watermarked PNG sized for the feed.

Settle the debate

Send this card to the group chat or post it for a sanity check — see who actually agrees with the read.

Group-chat ready

Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Same Game Parlay" (Bet365) 40/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-80fanl

The numbers

Boosted odds+450
Original odds+360
Market consensus+360
Devigged fair+453
Implied probability18.2%
Fair probability18.1%
Boost % gained+19.6%
Expected ROI-0.54%
Edge vs fair-0.54%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - WIN Bluebombers
Leg 2unmatched
Brady Oliveira: To Score a TD
Leg 3unmatched
Bryce Perkins: To Score a TD
Bet365 (boosted)+450
Combined consensus+360
Combined fair (devigged)+453

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - WIN Bluebombers
  • 2.Brady Oliveira: To Score a TD
  • 3.Bryce Perkins: To Score a TD

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value despite the increased payout.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +450 are still below the calculated fair odds of +453, resulting in a negative edge of -0.54%.
  • Market context: The boost presents an improvement over the original +360 odds, but it does not surpass the theoretical fair price.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Pass.