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FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 24/100 with 6.1% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You 4-Leg Stack
Value
5

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
57

Compares to best alt book

Historical
57

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
51

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
24/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Boosted
+1200
Edge
-6.1%
Boost
+13%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Same Game Parlay" (Bet365) 24/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-7a3r3u

The numbers

Boosted odds+1200
Original odds+1050
Market consensus+1050
Devigged fair+1284
Implied probability7.7%
Fair probability7.2%
Boost % gained+13.0%
Expected ROI-6.07%
Edge vs fair-6.07%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/4 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - SEA Mariners
Leg 2unmatched
Luke Raley: 1+ Runs Batted In
Leg 3unmatched
Dominic Canzone: 1+ Runs Batted In
Leg 4unmatched
Josh Naylor: 1+ Runs Batted In
Bet365 (boosted)+1200
Combined consensus+1050
Combined fair (devigged)+1284

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - SEA Mariners
  • 2.Luke Raley: 1+ Runs Batted In
  • 3.Dominic Canzone: 1+ Runs Batted In
  • 4.Josh Naylor: 1+ Runs Batted In