Ai
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52AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value

SAME GAME PARLAY

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 52/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value Big Bump 8-Leg Stack
Value
65

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
59

Compares to best alt book

Historical
62

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
47

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
FanDuel
52/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

SAME GAME PARLAY

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+10000
Edge
+10.5%
Price Bump
+33%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "SAME GAME PARLAY" (FanDuel) 52/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-4fqnzf

The numbers

Boosted odds+10000
Original odds+7500
Market consensus+7500
Devigged fair+9042
Implied probability1.0%
Fair probability1.1%
Boost % gained+32.9%
Expected ROI+10.48%
Edge vs fair+10.48%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/8 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 8 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Argentina: Over 1 Corners in 1st Half
Leg 2unmatched
Algeria: Over 1 Corners in 1st Half
Leg 3unmatched
Argentina: Over 1 Corners in 2nd Half
Leg 4unmatched
Algeria: Over 1 Corners in 2nd Half
Leg 5unmatched
Argentina: Over 1.5 1st Half Shots on Target
Leg 6unmatched
Algeria: Over 1.5 1st Half Shots on Target
Leg 7unmatched
Argentina: Over 1.5 2nd Half Shots on Target
Leg 8unmatched
Algeria: Over 1.5 2nd Half Shots on Target
FanDuel (boosted)+10000
Combined consensus+7500
Combined fair (devigged)+9042

Legs

  • 1.Argentina: Over 1 Corners in 1st Half
  • 2.Algeria: Over 1 Corners in 1st Half
  • 3.Argentina: Over 1 Corners in 2nd Half
  • 4.Algeria: Over 1 Corners in 2nd Half
  • 5.Argentina: Over 1.5 1st Half Shots on Target
  • 6.Algeria: Over 1.5 1st Half Shots on Target
  • 7.Argentina: Over 1.5 2nd Half Shots on Target
  • 8.Algeria: Over 1.5 2nd Half Shots on Target

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers a substantial edge for a highly correlated longshot parlay.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +10000 present a 10.48% edge over the devigged fair odds of +9042, indicating significant value.
  • Market context: The boost from +7500 to +10000 provides a 32.9% improvement over the original odds.
  • Status: the matchup is no notable injury signal.
  • Social: the matchup data from Reddit.
  • Risk: This is an 8-leg parlay, inherently carrying high multi-leg parlay variance.

Smart insight: The combined offensive performance of both Argentina and Algeria, particularly in shots on target and corners throughout the match, will drive the EV of this bet. Similar profile: This is an 8-leg SGP in soccer covering first and second-half offensive metrics for both teams, a profile that typically carries high correlation but significant parlay variance. Counter-case: The extreme number of legs and reliance on sustained offensive output from two separate teams introduces substantial correlation risk. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Recommendation: Small