Longshot — fun stake only
Wild ticket — books don't price something this specific, so we can't confirm true edge. Bet it for the story, not the ROI.
Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.
Verdict: This boost offers a notable edge, driven by its parlay structure.
Smart insight: The outcome of Luis the matchup direct goal contributions significantly influences the EV of this multi-leg parlay. Similar profile: This is a 3-leg same-game parlay in soccer, combining player props with a half-time/full-time result. These typically have higher variance but also larger payouts when they hit. Counter-case: The correlation between Luis the matchup individual contributions and the HT/FT result for Colombia introduces significant correlation risk not fully captured by raw parlay odds. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.
Recommendation: Standard
Grade B · 67/100 · Lottery Ticket
Same Game Parlay at +2000 on Bet365 (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+10.5%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.
We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.
Yes. B (67/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.
Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an B-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.