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FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 20/100 with 10.0% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
0

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
52

Compares to best alt book

Historical
51

Similar boosts performance

Safety
1

Higher = lower variance

Social
53

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
20/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

Same Game Parlay

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Your Odds
+1200
Edge
-10.0%
Price Bump
+8%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Same Game Parlay" (Bet365) 20/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-1tuy8i

The numbers

Boosted odds+1200
Original odds+1100
Market consensus+1100
Devigged fair+1344
Implied probability7.7%
Fair probability6.9%
Boost % gained+8.3%
Expected ROI-9.97%
Edge vs fair-9.97%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Evan Carter - Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
Leg 2unmatched
Josh Jung: 1+ Hits
Leg 3unmatched
Wyatt Langford: 1+ Runs
Bet365 (boosted)+1200
Combined consensus+1100
Combined fair (devigged)+1344

Legs

  • 1.Evan Carter - Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
  • 2.Josh Jung: 1+ Hits
  • 3.Wyatt Langford: 1+ Runs

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and should be avoided.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +1200 are significantly lower than the calculated fair odds of +1344, indicating a notable negative edge of -9.97%.
  • Market context: The boost provides an 8.3% increase over the original odds, but this does not bridge the gap to fair value.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal for Evan Carter, Josh Jung, or Wyatt Langford.
  • Risk: This is a three-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Pass.