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DCoin flip· Fair Price

Same Game Parlay

Grade D · Poor

About 2.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 45/100).

Slightly better than the market average. A defensible bet — not a screaming edge.

Big Bump
Value
49

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
52

Compares to best alt book

Historical
46

Similar boosts performance

Safety
21

Higher = lower variance

Social
52

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
FanDuel
45/100
COIN FLIPFair Price

Same Game Parlay

"Slightly better than the market average. A defensible bet — not a screaming edge."

Your Odds
+1226
Edge
+2.0%
Price Bump
+23%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "Same Game Parlay" (FanDuel) 45/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/same-game-parlay-1jd87t

The numbers

Boosted odds+1226
Original odds+981
Market consensus+981
Devigged fair+1200
Implied probability7.5%
Fair probability7.7%
Boost % gained+22.7%
Expected ROI+2.00%
Edge vs fair+2.00%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/2 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Pavel Dorofeyev Anytime Goal Scorer
Leg 2unmatched
Taylor Hall Anytime Goal Scorer
FanDuel (boosted)+1226
Combined consensus+981
Combined fair (devigged)+1200

Legs

  • 1.Pavel Dorofeyev Anytime Goal Scorer
  • 2.Taylor Hall Anytime Goal Scorer

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers a slight edge over fair odds for a two-leg anytime goal scorer parlay.

  • Value: The 2.00% edge over the devigged fair odds of +1200 indicates a minor profit opportunity.
  • Market context: The boosted odds of +1226 are superior to the implied fair odds of +1200 and the original odds of +981.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal.
  • Risk: This is a two-leg parlay, carrying inherent multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Small.