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27AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

SAMBA BOYS TO SHINE

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 27/100 with 3.7% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
16

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
48

Compares to best alt book

Historical
44

Similar boosts performance

Safety
12

Higher = lower variance

Social
52

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
27/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

SAMBA BOYS TO SHINE

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Boosted
+1000
Edge
-3.7%
Boost
+16%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "SAMBA BOYS TO SHINE" (Bet365) 27/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/samba-boys-to-shine-sqj723

The numbers

Boosted odds+1000
Original odds+850
Market consensus+850
Devigged fair+1042
Implied probability9.1%
Fair probability8.8%
Boost % gained+15.8%
Expected ROI-3.68%
Edge vs fair-3.68%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Brazil Money Line
Leg 2unmatched
Vinicius Jr. 2+ Shots on Target
Leg 3unmatched
Raphinha 2+ Shots on Target
Bet365 (boosted)+1000
Combined consensus+850
Combined fair (devigged)+1042

Legs

  • 1.Brazil Money Line
  • 2.Vinicius Jr. 2+ Shots on Target
  • 3.Raphinha 2+ Shots on Target