All analyses
34AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Overpriced
Samba Boys To Shine
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 34/100 with 3.7% off fair. Sportsbook special.
You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
20
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
64
Compares to best alt book
Historical
59
Similar boosts performance
Safety
6
Higher = lower variance
Social
53
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
34/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced
Samba Boys To Shine
"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."
Boosted
+1000
Edge
-3.7%
Boost
+16%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+1000
Original odds+850
Market consensus+850
Devigged fair+1042
Implied probability9.1%
Fair probability8.8%
Boost % gained+15.8%
Expected ROI-3.68%
Edge vs fair-3.68%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - Brazil
Leg 2unmatched
Vinicius Jr.: 2+ Shots on Target
Leg 3unmatched
Raphinha: 2+ Shots on Target
Bet365 (boosted)+1000
Combined consensus+850
Combined fair (devigged)+1042
Legs
- 1.Money Line - Brazil
- 2.Vinicius Jr.: 2+ Shots on Target
- 3.Raphinha: 2+ Shots on Target