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26AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

SAMBA BOYS TO SHINE

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 26/100 with 7.0% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
8

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
53

Compares to best alt book

Historical
47

Similar boosts performance

Safety
14

Higher = lower variance

Social
50

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
26/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

SAMBA BOYS TO SHINE

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Boosted
+850
Edge
-7.0%
Boost
+12%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "SAMBA BOYS TO SHINE" (Bet365) 26/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/samba-boys-to-shine-c7tst4

The numbers

Boosted odds+850
Original odds+750
Market consensus+750
Devigged fair+922
Implied probability10.5%
Fair probability9.8%
Boost % gained+11.8%
Expected ROI-7.05%
Edge vs fair-7.05%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - Brazil
Leg 2unmatched
Vinicius Jr.: 2+ Shots on Target
Leg 3unmatched
Raphinha: 2+ Shots on Target
Bet365 (boosted)+850
Combined consensus+750
Combined fair (devigged)+922

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - Brazil
  • 2.Vinicius Jr.: 2+ Shots on Target
  • 3.Raphinha: 2+ Shots on Target