All analyses
55AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value

Run Witt It

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 55/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value
Value
79

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
55

Compares to best alt book

Historical
45

Similar boosts performance

Safety
2

Higher = lower variance

Social
45

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
55/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

Run Witt It

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+1100
Edge
+463.4%
Price Bump
+9%
AiOddsLab.com
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "Run Witt It" (Bet365) 55/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/run-witt-it-vfgnlg

The numbers

Boosted odds+1100
Original odds+1000
Market consensus+105
Devigged fair+113
Implied probability8.3%
Fair probability46.9%
Boost % gained+9.1%
Expected ROI+463.38%
Edge vs fair+463.38%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Leg 1fair +113
Money Line - KC Royals
consensus +105 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2unmatched
Bobby Witt Jr. - Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
Leg 3unmatched
Bobby Witt Jr.: 1+ Hits
Bet365 (boosted)+1100
Combined consensus+105
Combined fair (devigged)+113

Player status

From ESPN injury feed.

  • ACTIVE
    Bobby Witt Jr. · Kansas City Royals
  • ACTIVE
    Bobby Witt Jr. · Kansas City Royals

Legs

  • 1.Money Line - KC Royals
  • 2.Bobby Witt Jr. - Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
  • 3.Bobby Witt Jr.: 1+ Hits

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers significant positive expected value due to the mispricing of the legs relative to the boosted odds.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +1100 present a substantial 463.38% edge over the combined devigged fair odds of +113. This represents a rare and strong value play.
  • Market context: The boost from +1000 to +1100 adds extra value, but the primary edge comes from the market's overall underestimation of this parlay, sitting at a consensus of +105.
  • Status: Bobby Witt Jr. is active for the game.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Standard.