All analyses
30AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Overpriced
Player Shots on Target
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 30/100 with 4.5% off fair. Sportsbook special.
You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
20
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
51
Compares to best alt book
Historical
50
Similar boosts performance
Safety
10
Higher = lower variance
Social
47
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
30/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced
Player Shots on Target
"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."
Boosted
+1140
Edge
-4.5%
Boost
+15%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+1140
Original odds+979
Market consensus+979
Devigged fair+1198
Implied probability8.1%
Fair probability7.7%
Boost % gained+14.9%
Expected ROI-4.47%
Edge vs fair-4.47%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Breel Embolo Over 1.5 Shots on Target
Leg 2unmatched
Vinicius Jr. Over 1.5 Shots on Target
Leg 3unmatched
Scott McTominay Over 1.5 Shots on Target
Bet365 (boosted)+1140
Combined consensus+979
Combined fair (devigged)+1198
Legs
- 1.Breel Embolo Over 1.5 Shots on Target
- 2.Vinicius Jr. Over 1.5 Shots on Target
- 3.Scott McTominay Over 1.5 Shots on Target