All analyses
53AiOddsLab
DCoin flip· Strong Value
Pitchers' Paradise
Grade D · Poor
About 9.6% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 53/100).
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Solid Value
Value
73
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
39
Compares to best alt book
Historical
51
Similar boosts performance
Safety
20
Higher = lower variance
Social
52
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
53/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value
Pitchers' Paradise
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
Your Odds
+550
Edge
+9.6%
Price Bump
+12%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+550
Original odds+480
Devigged fair+493
Implied probability15.4%
Fair probability16.9%
Boost % gained+12.1%
Expected ROI+9.61%
Edge vs fair+9.61%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Leg 1unmatched
A Run in the 1st Inning - No
Leg 2unmatched
Nathan Eovaldi: 6+ Pitcher Strikeouts
Leg 3unmatched
Stephen Kolek: 4+ Pitcher Strikeouts
Bet365 (boosted)+550
Combined fair (devigged)+493
Player status
From ESPN injury feed.
- ACTIVENathan Eovaldi
- ACTIVEStephen Kolek
Legs
- 1.A Run in the 1st Inning - No
- 2.Nathan Eovaldi: 6+ Pitcher Strikeouts
- 3.Stephen Kolek: 4+ Pitcher Strikeouts
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers a significant edge over the fair odds, driven by a valuable price improvement on a moderate parlay.
- Value: The boosted odds of +550 represent a healthy 9.61% edge over the devigged fair odds of +493. This is a legitimate value proposition.
- Market context: The boost from +480 to +550 is a 12.1% improvement, making this a strong offering compared to the original price.
- Status: Nathan Eovaldi and Stephen Kolek are both active.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, which inherently carries multi-leg parlay variance.
- Recommendation: Standard.