All analyses
47AiOddsLab
DCoin flip· Strong Value
Opening Game Drama
Grade D · Poor
About 9.2% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 47/100).
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Solid Value Big Bump 8-Leg Stack
Value
64
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
48
Compares to best alt book
Historical
51
Similar boosts performance
Safety
0
Higher = lower variance
Social
48
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
47/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value
Opening Game Drama
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
Your Odds
+6600
Edge
+9.2%
Price Bump
+31%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+6600
Original odds+5000
Market consensus+5000
Devigged fair+6035
Implied probability1.5%
Fair probability1.6%
Boost % gained+31.4%
Expected ROI+9.21%
Edge vs fair+9.21%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/8 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 8 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Mexico: Over 1 Corners in 1st Half
Leg 2unmatched
Mexico: Over 1 Corners in 2nd Half
Leg 3unmatched
South Africa: Over 1 Corners in 1st Half
Leg 4unmatched
South Africa: Over 1 Corners in 2nd Half
Leg 5unmatched
Mexico: Over 1.5 1st Half Shots on Target
Leg 6unmatched
Mexico: Over 1.5 2nd Half Shots on Target
Leg 7unmatched
South Africa: Over 1.5 1st Half Shots on Target
Leg 8unmatched
South Africa: Over 1.5 2nd Half Shots on Target
DraftKings (boosted)+6600
Combined consensus+5000
Combined fair (devigged)+6035
Legs
- 1.Mexico: Over 1 Corners in 1st Half
- 2.Mexico: Over 1 Corners in 2nd Half
- 3.South Africa: Over 1 Corners in 1st Half
- 4.South Africa: Over 1 Corners in 2nd Half
- 5.Mexico: Over 1.5 1st Half Shots on Target
- 6.Mexico: Over 1.5 2nd Half Shots on Target
- 7.South Africa: Over 1.5 1st Half Shots on Target
- 8.South Africa: Over 1.5 2nd Half Shots on Target
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers decent positive expected value on an extremely longshot parlay.
- Value: The boosted odds of +6600 present a 9.21% edge over the combined devigged fair odds of +6035.
- Market context: The boosted price is significantly better than the original +5000, representing a 31.4% boost.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: This is an 8-leg parlay, a highly volatile and extremely longshot wager.
- Recommendation: Small.