All analyses
Verdict: Better Off Passing. Rating 45 out of 100. Grade B.
Ai
AiOddsLab
Bet365
Better Off PassingBalancedB

Price or risk doesn't justify it

New Zealand vs Belgium

Custom bet builder — books don't post a comparable line, and the legs almost certainly carry correlation juice you can't see. Skip unless this is a fun ticket.

Stake idea · Balanced
0.5u · Half
Reasonable spot — half a unit keeps it fun.
Your odds
+100
Fair odds
+104
Edge
Ai

Settle the debate

Save as image
Send link

Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: A solid parlay for an international soccer match with an interesting mix of leg types.

  • Value: This bet is showing a slight negative edge at -1.96% compared to the devigged an estimated fair price.
  • Market context: The offered price of +100 is a bit lower than the calculated fair odds.
  • Status: the matchup is no notable injury signal for this matchup.
  • Social: the matchup is insufficient social media data to gauge public sentiment.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, which inherently carries multi-leg parlay variance.

Smart insight: The 'Under 5 goals' leg, being a relatively low total for an Under, likely has a significant impact on your overall probability here. Similar profile: Soccer parlays combining totals and prop bets often require careful balancing of potential game flow. Counter-case: The negative edge suggests the price on offer doesn't quite reflect the true probabilities. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off. Stake suggestion: the matchup stake.

How this bet was graded

Grade B · 45/100 · Better Off Passing

New Zealand vs Belgium at +100 on Bet365 (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+0.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. B (45/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an B-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.