Price or risk doesn't justify it
Custom bet builder — books don't post a comparable line, and the legs almost certainly carry correlation juice you can't see. Skip unless this is a fun ticket.
Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.
Verdict: This boost offers a slight negative expected value compared to fair market odds.
Smart insight: This bet's EV is heavily dependent on Ismael the matchup individual performance across two separate scoring and shots on target prop bets. Similar profile: This is a 3-leg single-game parlay combining a moneyline with two player props from the same player, a category that often shows juiced lines. Counter-case: The correlation risk between Ismael Saibari scoring and also having 3+ shots on target is not necessarily linear in soccer, adding complexity to the parlay. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.
Recommendation: Pass
Grade D · 36/100 · Better Off Passing
Morocco to win, Ismael Saibari to score, and Ismael Saibari 3+ shots on target at +1100 on Bet365 (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+0.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.
We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.
Yes. D (36/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.
Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an D-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.