What does a -2.2% edge mean?

A negative edge of -2.2% means the price (+166) is worse than fair value (+172). You can still win, but the long-run math is against you.

Does a positive edge mean the bet is likely to win?

No. The market still implies about a 37.6% chance this hits at the offered odds. A +EV bet pays more than its true probability warrants — most +EV bets at long odds still lose individually.

How are fair odds calculated?

Sportsbook prices on the same market are de-vigged and averaged to estimate a true win probability. Using the available market price, we estimate 36.8%, which converts to fair odds of +172.

Why does this grade differ from the sportsbook's advertised lift?

Books quote lifts vs their own original line, which already includes margin. We compare the price to a vig-free consensus, so an advertised lift can still grade poorly if the underlying line was inflated.

Should I bet every bet that grades well?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a guarantee. Even a B-grade bet can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation, and don't chase results.

Match winner: Ashleigh Harvey — B Grade — Modest Edge Play (52/100)

All analyses

AiOddsLab

Bet365

Better Off PassingBalancedB

Price or risk doesn't justify it

Match winner: Ashleigh Harvey

We'd rather tell you "we can't grade this" than fake a number. Pass, or stake it like entertainment.

Stake idea · Balanced

0.5u · Half

Reasonable spot — half a unit keeps it fun.

Your odds

+166

Fair odds

+172

Edge

—

Settle the debate

One brand · 3 sizes

Save as image

Send link

Inside angles

Researching…

Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This Ashleigh Harvey moneyline bet offers a solid return if she pulls off the win!

Value: the matchup no comparable market consensus available, so we can't numerically quantify the edge. However, your price of +166 is appealing for a straight-up win bet.
Market context: the matchup market consensus, it's hard to compare, but +166 is a good price on a single leg.
Status: the matchup no notable injury signal for Ashleigh Harvey.
Social: the matchup insufficient social data at the moment for this match.
Risk: This is a single-leg moneyline, so your outcome depends directly on Ashleigh the matchup performance.

Smart insight: The value of this bet hinges entirely on Ashleigh the matchup ability to win her match. Similar profile: the matchup moneyline bets in tennis often present good value when a player is offered at plus money. Counter-case: the matchup market consensus, it's difficult to know how this price compares to broader expectations. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.

Stake suggestion: the matchup.

How this bet was graded

Grade B · 52/100 · Better Off Passing

Match winner: Ashleigh Harvey at +166 on Bet365: we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+0.0%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. B (52/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an B-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.