Ai
AiOddsLab
All analyses
25AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

Main Men On Target

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 25/100 with 7.3% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
4

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
55

Compares to best alt book

Historical
67

Similar boosts performance

Safety
2

Higher = lower variance

Social
52

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
25/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

Main Men On Target

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Your Odds
+2800
Edge
-7.3%
Price Bump
+12%
AiOddsLab.com
Settle the debate · free
Ai
📸 Screenshot to send to the group chat
Or download a different format

One tap → high-res, watermarked PNG sized for the feed.

Settle the debate

Send this card to the group chat or post it for a sanity check — see who actually agrees with the read.

Group-chat ready

Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Main Men On Target" (DraftKings) 25/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/main-men-on-target-d69ag1

The numbers

Boosted odds+2800
Original odds+2500
Market consensus+2500
Devigged fair+3027
Implied probability3.4%
Fair probability3.2%
Boost % gained+11.5%
Expected ROI-7.26%
Edge vs fair-7.26%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Raul Jimenez: 2+ Shots on Target
Leg 2unmatched
Lyle Foster: 2+ Shots on Target
Leg 3unmatched
Both Teams to Score
DraftKings (boosted)+2800
Combined consensus+2500
Combined fair (devigged)+3027

Legs

  • 1.Raul Jimenez: 2+ Shots on Target
  • 2.Lyle Foster: 2+ Shots on Target
  • 3.Both Teams to Score

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and should be avoided.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +2800 are significantly lower than the calculated fair odds of +3027, indicating a negative edge of -7.26%.
  • Market context: DraftKings' boosted price is worse than the devigged fair odds by over 7%.
  • Status: No notable injury signal.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
  • Recommendation: Pass.