All analyses
Verdict: Better Off Passing. Rating 51 out of 100. Grade D.
Ai
AiOddsLab
Bet365
Better Off PassingBalancedD

Price or risk doesn't justify it

Lions Roaring

Custom bet builder — books don't post a comparable line, and the legs almost certainly carry correlation juice you can't see. Skip unless this is a fun ticket.

Stake idea · Balanced
0.1u · Sprinkle
A bit pricey. Sprinkle if you've got a strong read.
Your odds
+750
Fair odds
+802
Edge
Price bump+13%
Ai

Settle the debate

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Inside angles

Researching…
Pulling weather, lineups, head-to-head, and schedule spots…

Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value despite the apparent price increase.

  • Value: The boosted odds of +750 are significantly lower than the calculated an estimated fair price, indicating a negative ROI of -5.76%.
  • Market context: The boosted price is +750, a 13.3% increase over the original +650, but still falls short of the an estimated fair price.
  • Status: the matchup is no notable injury signal for any listed player.
  • Social: the matchup public social data exists for this specific boost.
  • Risk: 3-leg parlay variance. With 3 independent conditions required, hit rate compounds quickly and one miss voids the ticket. No verifiable correlation signal from the inputs provided.

Smart insight: The outcome of the Money Line leg for Senegal likely influences the shot-on-target opportunities for Ismaila Sarr and Nicolas Jackson, making this a loosely correlated parlay. Similar profile: This is a 3-leg parlay combining a money line with two player prop shots on target, a combination that typically shows significant deviation from fair value across various sports. Counter-case: The primary reason to fade is the negative edge against the fair odds. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off for any unexpected changes.

Recommendation: Pass.

How this bet was graded

Grade D · 51/100 · Better Off Passing

Lions Roaring at +750 on Bet365 (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+13.3%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.

Frequently asked questions

Why isn't an edge % shown?

We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.

Does the grade still mean something?

Yes. D (51/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.

Should I bet every A-grade ticket?

Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an D-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.