All analyses
32AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Overpriced
Korea Kickstart
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 32/100 with 2.5% off fair. Sportsbook special.
You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read.
Sportsbook Special
Value
22
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
52
Compares to best alt book
Historical
53
Similar boosts performance
Safety
12
Higher = lower variance
Social
49
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
32/100
PROBABLY SKIPOverpriced
Korea Kickstart
"You're paying more than the market thinks this is worth. Sit on it unless you have a strong read."
Your Odds
+3300
Edge
-2.5%
Price Bump
+17%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+3300
Original odds+2800
Market consensus+2800
Devigged fair+3388
Implied probability2.9%
Fair probability2.9%
Boost % gained+17.2%
Expected ROI-2.52%
Edge vs fair-2.52%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
South Korea Moneyline
Leg 2unmatched
Heung-Min Son 2+ Shots on Target
Leg 3unmatched
Kang-In Lee 2+ Shots on Target
DraftKings (boosted)+3300
Combined consensus+2800
Combined fair (devigged)+3388
Legs
- 1.South Korea Moneyline
- 2.Heung-Min Son 2+ Shots on Target
- 3.Kang-In Lee 2+ Shots on Target
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value despite the appealing boosted price.
- Value: The boosted odds of +3300 are worse than the calculated fair odds of +3388, representing a negative EV of -2.52%.
- Market context: DraftKings' boosted price is +3300, while the original odds were +2800. The fair odds indicate the boost is not sufficient to create an edge.
- Status: There is no notable injury signal for any player involved in this boost.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, which inherently carries significant multi-leg parlay variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.