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45AiOddsLab
DCoin flip· Market Neutral

Kings of the Backfield

Grade D · Poor

About 0.0% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 45/100).

Right around fair. You're paying about what the bet is worth — flip a coin on conviction.

4-Leg Stack
Value
50

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
60

Compares to best alt book

Historical
57

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
49

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
45/100
COIN FLIPMarket Neutral

Kings of the Backfield

"Right around fair. You're paying about what the bet is worth — flip a coin on conviction."

Your Odds
+1361
Edge
+0.0%
Price Bump
+0%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "Kings of the Backfield" (DraftKings) 45/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/kings-of-the-backfield-vr9s6q

The numbers

Boosted odds+1361
Implied probability6.8%
Fair probability6.8%
Boost % gained+0.0%
Expected ROI+0.00%
Edge vs fair+0.00%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Incomplete Market Context
Cannot calculate true EV due to unmatched custom prop legs. Standard book baseline applies. Edge frozen at 0.0%.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 4 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
D. Henry 1250+ Reg Szn Rush Yards
Leg 2unmatched
J. Taylor 1250+ Reg Szn Rush Yards
Leg 3unmatched
J. Cook 1250+ Reg Szn Rush Yards
Leg 4unmatched
B. Robinson 1250+ Reg Szn Rush Yards
DraftKings (boosted)+1361

Legs

  • 1.D. Henry 1250+ Reg Szn Rush Yards
  • 2.J. Taylor 1250+ Reg Szn Rush Yards
  • 3.J. Cook 1250+ Reg Szn Rush Yards
  • 4.B. Robinson 1250+ Reg Szn Rush Yards

AI breakdown

Verdict: This four-leg longshot boost for 1250+ rushing yards by four different players offers a neutral value proposition.

  • Value: The AiOddsLab rating of 45/100 suggests a neutral value, indicating no significant edge versus a fair market.
  • Market context: the matchup original odds or comparable consensus lines, a direct market comparison is not possible.
  • Status: the matchup is no notable injury signal for any of the players involved.
  • Social: the matchup Reddit data prohibits social sentiment analysis.
  • Risk: This is a four-leg parlay, inherently carrying high multi-leg parlay variance.

Smart insight: The sustained health and per-game volume of D. Henry, J. Taylor, J. Cook, and B. Robinson will be the primary drivers of this bet's expected value over the season. Similar profile: This is a long-term futures parlay focusing on individual player milestones, which typically resolve with high variance due to the number of games and potential for injury or performance fluctuations. Counter-case: The long-term nature of the bet introduces significant uncertainty in player performance and availability over an entire regular season. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off for individual games, though this is a season-long futures bet.

Recommendation: Pass