All analyses
26AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special
It's Sho-Time
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 26/100 with 6.9% off fair. Sportsbook special.
Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
7
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
52
Compares to best alt book
Historical
50
Similar boosts performance
Safety
16
Higher = lower variance
Social
55
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
FanDuel
26/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special
It's Sho-Time
"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."
Your Odds
+600
Edge
-6.9%
Price Bump
+12%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+600
Original odds+525
Market consensus+525
Devigged fair+652
Implied probability14.3%
Fair probability13.3%
Boost % gained+12.0%
Expected ROI-6.91%
Edge vs fair-6.91%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Money Line - LA Dodgers
Leg 2unmatched
Shohei Ohtani: 2+ Runs Batted In
Leg 3unmatched
Shohei Ohtani: 4+ Total Bases
FanDuel (boosted)+600
Combined consensus+525
Combined fair (devigged)+652
Legs
- 1.Money Line - LA Dodgers
- 2.Shohei Ohtani: 2+ Runs Batted In
- 3.Shohei Ohtani: 4+ Total Bases
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and provides significantly worse odds than the calculated fair price.
- Value: The boosted odds of +600 are still significantly lower than the projected fair odds of +652, indicating a negative edge of -6.91%.
- Market context: The FanDuel boost at +600 is less favorable than the calculated devigged fair odds of +652.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, increasing multi-leg parlay variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.