All analyses
24AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special
HOUSTON HEROES
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 24/100 with 11.0% off fair. Sportsbook special.
Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
2
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
49
Compares to best alt book
Historical
52
Similar boosts performance
Safety
20
Higher = lower variance
Social
52
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
24/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special
HOUSTON HEROES
"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."
Your Odds
+1400
Edge
-11.0%
Price Bump
+7%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+1400
Original odds+1300
Market consensus+1300
Devigged fair+1585
Implied probability6.7%
Fair probability5.9%
Boost % gained+7.1%
Expected ROI-10.98%
Edge vs fair-10.98%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/2 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 2 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Christian Walker: 1+ Home Runs
Leg 2unmatched
Yordan Alvarez: 1+ Home Runs
Bet365 (boosted)+1400
Combined consensus+1300
Combined fair (devigged)+1585
Legs
- 1.Christian Walker: 1+ Home Runs
- 2.Yordan Alvarez: 1+ Home Runs
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value and is worth avoiding.
- Value: The boosted odds of +1400 are significantly lower than the calculated fair odds of +1585, resulting in a negative expected value.
- Market context: The boost of +1400 is worse than the devigged fair odds of +1585.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: This is a two-leg home run parlay, which carries high multi-leg parlay variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.