Haití v Escocia
Grade D · Poor
About 3.9% worse than fair, or a stronger edge dragged down by weak market/safety/historical signals (rating 46/100).
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Edge vs devigged fair price
Compares to best alt book
Similar boosts performance
Higher = lower variance
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Haití v Escocia
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
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The numbers
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Legs
- 1.Scotland to lead at halftime and win at fulltime
- 2.Scotland to have the most shots on target
- 3.Scotland to have the most corners
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers a slight edge due to favorable pricing.
- Value: The +325 boosted odds provide a 3.91% edge against the +309 devigged fair odds.
- Market context: The boost presents a 6.3% improvement over the original +300 odds.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Social: Insufficient data on Reddit.
- Risk: This is a multi-leg parlay, subject to increased variance.
Smart insight: The cumulative probability of Scotland leading at halftime and winning fulltime, along with statistical dominance in shots on target and corners, drives the overall value of this bet. Similar profile: This is a 3-leg SGP in soccer covering match outcome and statistical dominance, which often carries significant parlay variance. Counter-case: The correlation between a team leading at half/winning fulltime and also dominating shots/corners can be significant, but not guaranteed. Live context: Monitor lineups near tip-off.
Recommendation: small