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57AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value

Guard the Land

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 57/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value
Value
82

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
42

Compares to best alt book

Historical
46

Similar boosts performance

Safety
21

Higher = lower variance

Social
53

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
57/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

Guard the Land

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+500
Edge
+185.7%
Price Bump
+18%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "Guard the Land" (Bet365) 57/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/guard-the-land-cua6ff

The numbers

Boosted odds+500
Original odds+410
Market consensus+102
Devigged fair+110
Implied probability16.7%
Fair probability47.6%
Boost % gained+17.6%
Expected ROI+185.71%
Edge vs fair+185.71%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Leg 1fair +110
CLE Guardians Moneyline
consensus +102 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2unmatched
Steven Kwan to get 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
Leg 3unmatched
Travis Bazzana to get 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
Bet365 (boosted)+500
Combined consensus+102
Combined fair (devigged)+110

Legs

  • 1.CLE Guardians Moneyline
  • 2.Steven Kwan to get 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs
  • 3.Travis Bazzana to get 2+ Hits, Runs and RBIs

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers significant theoretical value due to the generous boost percentage.

  • Value: The 185.71% EV suggests a substantial edge when compared to the fair odds.
  • Market context: The boosted odds of +500 are considerably higher than the original +410 and the devigged fair odds of +110.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal for any player involved.
  • Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, which carries inherent multi-leg parlay variance. The player prop legs are "unmatched," increasing uncertainty.
  • Recommendation: Small.