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FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special

Foul Play

Grade F · Avoid

Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 25/100 with 5.8% off fair. Sportsbook special.

Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.

Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You 4-Leg Stack
Value
9

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
59

Compares to best alt book

Historical
51

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
45

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
25/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special

Foul Play

"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."

Boosted
+1600
Edge
-5.8%
Boost
+13%
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Settle the debate — AiOddsLab graded "Foul Play" (Bet365) 25/100. Looks like a sportsbook special. Would you still tail it? https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/foul-play-4fs7vh

The numbers

Boosted odds+1600
Original odds+1400
Market consensus+1400
Devigged fair+1705
Implied probability5.9%
Fair probability5.5%
Boost % gained+13.3%
Expected ROI-5.82%
Edge vs fair-5.82%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/4 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 4 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Casemiro: 2+ Fouls Committed
Leg 2unmatched
Bruno Guimaraes: 2+ Fouls Committed
Leg 3unmatched
Achraf Hakimi: 2+ Fouls Committed
Leg 4unmatched
Noussair Mazraoui: 2+ Fouls Committed
Bet365 (boosted)+1600
Combined consensus+1400
Combined fair (devigged)+1705

Legs

  • 1.Casemiro: 2+ Fouls Committed
  • 2.Bruno Guimaraes: 2+ Fouls Committed
  • 3.Achraf Hakimi: 2+ Fouls Committed
  • 4.Noussair Mazraoui: 2+ Fouls Committed