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54AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value

FIRST ROUND FAVS

Grade C · Fair

Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 54/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.

Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.

Solid Value Big Bump 9-Leg Stack
Value
71

Edge vs devigged fair price

Market
60

Compares to best alt book

Historical
52

Similar boosts performance

Safety
0

Higher = lower variance

Social
48

Reddit sentiment (soft)

Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
DraftKings
54/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value

FIRST ROUND FAVS

"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."

Your Odds
+13746
Edge
+22.0%
Price Bump
+25%
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Coin flip? AiOddsLab graded "FIRST ROUND FAVS" (DraftKings) 54/100. Curious what the group chat thinks. https://aioddslab.com/analyzer/first-round-favs-mm9v1d

The numbers

Boosted odds+13746
Original odds+10997
Market consensus+10997
Devigged fair+11247
Implied probability0.7%
Fair probability0.9%
Boost % gained+24.8%
Expected ROI+22.02%
Edge vs fair+22.02%

Market comparison

Per-leg fair odds, then combined.

Partial: 0/9 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
Leg 1unmatched
Mexico to win (v South Africa)
Leg 2unmatched
South Korea to win (v Czechia)
Leg 3unmatched
Canada to win (v Bosnia-Herzegovina)
Leg 4unmatched
USA to win (v Paraguay)
Leg 5unmatched
Switzerland to win (v Qatar)
Leg 6unmatched
Brazil to win (v Morocco)
Leg 7unmatched
Scotland to win (v Haiti)
Leg 8unmatched
Türkiye to win (v Australia)
Leg 9unmatched
Netherlands to win (v Japan)
DraftKings (boosted)+13746
Combined consensus+10997
Combined fair (devigged)+11247

Legs

  • 1.Mexico to win (v South Africa)
  • 2.South Korea to win (v Czechia)
  • 3.Canada to win (v Bosnia-Herzegovina)
  • 4.USA to win (v Paraguay)
  • 5.Switzerland to win (v Qatar)
  • 6.Brazil to win (v Morocco)
  • 7.Scotland to win (v Haiti)
  • 8.Türkiye to win (v Australia)
  • 9.Netherlands to win (v Japan)

AI breakdown

Verdict: This boost offers substantial positive expected value due to the significant deviation from fair odds.

  • Value: The boost provides a 22.02% edge against the devigged fair odds of +11247, making it a high-value play.
  • Market context: The boosted odds of +13746 are considerably better than the original +10997 and the calculated fair odds.
  • Status: There is no notable injury signal for any players involved.
  • Risk: This is a 9-leg parlay, which inherently carries high variance due to the number of combined outcomes required.
  • Recommendation: Standard.