All analyses
57AiOddsLab
CCoin flip· Strong Value
Fire on the Mound
Grade C · Fair
Priced near the devigged market and the supporting signals are mixed (rating 57/100). Roughly a coin flip on value.
Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side.
Solid Value
Value
81
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
42
Compares to best alt book
Historical
57
Similar boosts performance
Safety
19
Higher = lower variance
Social
47
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
57/100
COIN FLIPStrong Value
Fire on the Mound
"Priced noticeably better than the market average. Reasonable spot if you already liked this side."
Your Odds
+450
Edge
+17.0%
Price Bump
+20%
AiOddsLab.com
Settle the debate · free📸 Screenshot to send to the group chat
Or download a different format
One tap → high-res, watermarked PNG sized for the feed.
The numbers
Boosted odds+450
Original odds+360
Devigged fair+370
Implied probability18.2%
Fair probability21.3%
Boost % gained+19.6%
Expected ROI+17.02%
Edge vs fair+17.02%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Leg 1unmatched
A Run in the 1st Inning - No
Leg 2unmatched
Chase Burns: 7+ Pitcher Strikeouts
Leg 3unmatched
Lucas Giolito: 5+ Pitcher Strikeouts
Bet365 (boosted)+450
Combined fair (devigged)+370
Player status
From ESPN injury feed.
- ACTIVELucas Giolito
Legs
- 1.A Run in the 1st Inning - No
- 2.Chase Burns: 7+ Pitcher Strikeouts
- 3.Lucas Giolito: 5+ Pitcher Strikeouts
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers substantial positive expected value, making it an attractive play despite multi-leg parlay variance.
- Value: The boosted odds of +450 represent a significant 17.02% edge over the fair odds of +370, indicating a true advantage.
- Market context: The boost from +360 to +450 provides excellent value compared to the original price and the calculated fair odds.
- Status: Lucas Giolito is active.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, which inherently carries higher variance compared to single-leg bets.
- Recommendation: Standard.