All analyses
25AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special
Fast Start Frenzy
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 25/100 with 6.1% off fair. Sportsbook special.
Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You
Value
11
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
46
Compares to best alt book
Historical
51
Similar boosts performance
Safety
6
Higher = lower variance
Social
53
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
25/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special
Fast Start Frenzy
"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."
Your Odds
+1200
Edge
-6.1%
Price Bump
+13%
AiOddsLab.com
Settle the debate · free📸 Screenshot to send to the group chat
Or download a different format
One tap → high-res, watermarked PNG sized for the feed.
Settle the debate
Send this card to the group chat or post it for a sanity check — see who actually agrees with the read.
The numbers
Boosted odds+1200
Original odds+1050
Market consensus+1050
Devigged fair+1284
Implied probability7.7%
Fair probability7.2%
Boost % gained+13.0%
Expected ROI-6.07%
Edge vs fair-6.07%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Partial: 0/3 legs matched
Some legs lacked competitor prices. Edge calculated against the hosting book's original parlay price, not a full multi-book consensus.
SGP correlation markdown · −15%
SGP correlation: 3 overlapping positive legs (same game). Fair probability marked down 15%.
Leg 1unmatched
Jalen Brunson: 5+ Points in the 1st Quarter
Leg 2unmatched
Devin Vassell: 5+ Points in the 1st Quarter
Leg 3unmatched
Mikal Bridges: 5+ Points in the 1st Quarter
Bet365 (boosted)+1200
Combined consensus+1050
Combined fair (devigged)+1284
Player status
From ESPN injury feed.
- ACTIVEJalen Brunson
- ACTIVEDevin Vassell
- ACTIVEMikal Bridges
Legs
- 1.Jalen Brunson: 5+ Points in the 1st Quarter
- 2.Devin Vassell: 5+ Points in the 1st Quarter
- 3.Mikal Bridges: 5+ Points in the 1st Quarter
AI breakdown
Verdict: This boost offers negative expected value compared to the fair odds.
- Value: The boost at +1200 is notably lower than the combined devigged fair odds of +1284, indicating a -6.07% edge against your favor.
- Market context: The boosted price is +1200, but the fair return is calculated at +1284, suggesting this is a worse price than the true odds.
- Status: Jalen Brunson, Devin Vassell, and Mikal Bridges are all active.
- Risk: This is a 3-leg parlay, inherently carrying multi-leg parlay variance.
- Recommendation: Pass.