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21AiOddsLab
FProbably skip· Sportsbook Special
Early Slate Winners: 6-Leg MLB Moneyline Parlay
Grade F · Avoid
Heavily overpriced and/or weak across the board — rating 21/100 with 10.8% off fair. Sportsbook special.
Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one.
Sportsbook Special Vegas Thanks You 6-Leg Stack
Value
0
Edge vs devigged fair price
Market
61
Compares to best alt book
Historical
48
Similar boosts performance
Safety
0
Higher = lower variance
Social
43
Reddit sentiment (soft)
Ai
AiOddsLabVerdict
Bet365
21/100
PROBABLY SKIPSportsbook Special
Early Slate Winners: 6-Leg MLB Moneyline Parlay
"Looks shiny, prices like a tax. The book is the one celebrating this one."
Your Odds
+3028
Edge
-10.8%
Price Bump
+12%
AiOddsLab.com
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The numbers
Boosted odds+3028
Original odds+2691
Market consensus+2678
Devigged fair+3407
Implied probability3.2%
Fair probability2.9%
Boost % gained+12.1%
Expected ROI-10.81%
Edge vs fair-10.81%
Market comparison
Per-leg fair odds, then combined.
Leg 1fair -140
NY Yankees to win
consensus -155 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 2fair -153
PHI Phillies to win
consensus -170 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 3fair -139
ATL Braves to win
consensus -152 · 10 books · h2h
Leg 4fair -125
TOR Blue Jays to win
consensus -136 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 5fair +103
SEA Mariners to win
consensus -105 · 11 books · h2h
Leg 6fair -103
TB Rays to win
consensus -112 · 11 books · h2h
Bet365 (boosted)+3028
Combined consensus+2678
Combined fair (devigged)+3407
Line movement2 snapshots
+8
Legs
- 1.NY Yankees to win
- 2.PHI Phillies to win
- 3.ATL Braves to win
- 4.TOR Blue Jays to win
- 5.SEA Mariners to win
- 6.TB Rays to win
AI breakdown
Verdict: This six-leg moneyline parlay is a marketing boost with significant negative expected value.
- Value: The boost presents a -10.81% negative edge, offering worse odds than the calculated fair value and making it an unprofitable long-term play.
- Market context: While boosted to +3028 from an original +2691, the price is substantially lower than the devigged fair odds of +3407.
- Status: No notable injury signal.
- Risk: The main risk is the inherent variance of a six-leg parlay, which combines five favorites (NY Yankees, PHI Phillies, ATL Braves, TOR Blue Jays, TB Rays) and one slight underdog (SEA Mariners).
- Recommendation: Pass.