Longshot — fun stake only
Books don't post this exact combo, so we're flying blind. Long-shot territory either way.
Angles are surfaced only when backed by a specific fact. Verify lineups and weather close to game time.
Verdict: This three-leg parlay on Dodger Dinasía offers a significant edge over its fair price.
Smart insight: The outcome of Shohei Ohtani reaching base clearly impacts both his stolen base and run prop, creating dependencies within the parlay. Similar profile: the matchup same-game parlays combining hit, run, and stolen base props often have hidden correlations that make them resolve better or worse than naive independent probabilities. Counter-case: The longshot nature of Shohei Ohtani stealing a base introduces significant variance to this parlay. Live context: the matchup lineups near tip-off.
Recommendation: Standard
Grade B · 75/100 · Lottery Ticket
Dodger Dinasía at +1000 on DraftKings (3 legs): we couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy consensus fair value, so no edge % is shown — anything we'd print would just echo the book's own vig. The grade leans on price lift vs the original (+15.8%), leg count, and variance. Treat it as directional.
We couldn't match this slip to enough comparable market prices to compute a trustworthy fair value. Rather than show a number derived from the offered price itself (which would just echo the book's vig), we leave the edge unstated. The grade still reflects price lift vs the original, variance, and confidence.
Yes. B (75/100) is built from the price lift, leg count, variance, and any verified context signals — it's directional. Treat it as a sanity check, not a precise EV figure.
Grading is a price-quality signal, not a prediction. Even an B-grade ticket can lose. Size within your bankroll, account for correlation between legs, and use Inside Angles above to spot factors the price hasn't absorbed yet.